Professor Kalypso Nicolaïdis calculates the likely value of Britain’s Brexit deal

  • img01i
    Photo by Anssi Koskinen (CC BY 2.0)Read more

“Do we know more now about the likely shape of the future Brexit deal?” writes Kalypso Nicolaïdis in an article (17 January) for the European Council on Foreign Relations blog, adding that “the fundamentals are arguably simple enough to be described in three short equations, each of which gives us a clue about an eventual Deal UK”.

The first of these equations – ‘Vm > VDuk > Vnfm’  –  suggests that the general value of Deal UK (VDuk) cannot be greater than the value of EU membership (Vm), but that it could potentially be greater than the deals accorded to non-former members (Vnfm) such as Norway and Canada.

The full article can be read here: http://www.ecfr.eu/article/commentary_a_logical_approach_to_predicting_a_brexit_deal_7217 

Professor Kalypso Nicolaïdis is Professor of International Relations, Director of the Centre for International Studies, Faculty Fellow, St Antonys College