Event

Making and Breaking Governments 2.0: Using A1 to Build Better Theory

Date
6 Feb 2024
Time
12:30 UK time
Speakers
Scott de Marchi
Where
Nuffield College, SCR (A staircase), New Road OX1 1NF
Series
Nuffield College Political Science Seminars
Audience
Members of the University only
Booking
Not required

Theoretical models have struggled to make sharp predictions of which governments form in parliamentary systems and how long these governments last. We develop an AI algorithm to solve an analytically intractable coalition bargaining game. While AI models have penetrated most aspects of daily life, they have largely been ignored by political scientists. Formidable successes by AI models in solving games like Chess, Go, and especially a bluffing game like Poker, suggest they also have the potential to attack difficult political games. We find evidence that this is indeed the case for coalition bargaining.