Professor Geoffrey Evans asks whether all roads lead to UKIP

Geoff Evans, also a Co-Director of the British Election Study (BES), has co-authored an article entitled 'All Roads lead to UKIP?' with Jon Mellon (University of Oxford).  The article is available here: http://www.britishelectionstudy.com/bes-resources/all-roads-lead-to-ukip-by-geoff-evans-and-jon-mellon-university-of-oxford/#.VIbgKzGsXeI

Geoff writes, "BES data shows quite clearly that it's the Conservative Party who need to worry most about the threat of Ukip - because those people who supported Labour have in the main, already made the switch.

"New Labour's move to the liberal consensus on the EU and immigration in 2001, 2005 and 2010, left many of their core voters out in the cold a long time before UKIP were around."

This article has been picked up in the Daily Telegraph, the Spectator, the Daily Express, the Financial Times, the Independent, the Guardian and the Daily Mail.