What Economists Really Do - Pressure Points: How Sanctions Reshape Trade, Finance, and Firm Behaviour

What secrets about sanctions evasion are hidden in trade data? Who fears secondary sanctions - and who shrugs them off? And why has Russia’s pivot toward the Chinese renminbi accelerated so dramatically under Western restrictions? This talk explores these questions in the context of the unprecedented sanctions imposed on Russia after its 2022 invasion of Ukraine.
Le Devoir

Mikhail Korneev

Mikhail is a researcher specialising in the comparative political economy of participatory and deliberative democratic instruments, with a regional focus on the European Union, Germany, and Russia. His doctoral research uses quantitative causal inference methods to examine the effects of democratic innovations on the accountability, responsiveness, and efficiency of local government institutions.

How to End a Nuclear War: Deterrence and Provocation in War Termination

Is nuclear conflict manageable, or does any use of nuclear weapons inexorably push states toward escalation? And how do these dynamics differ between nuclear- and conventional-armed attacks? Many theorists have considered these questions, but empirically answering them is difficult given the absence of historical data. We address this challenge by fielding a pre-registered experimental survey of American adults designed around a series of hypothetical vignettes featuring attacks on the United States.
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