Professor Kalypso Nicolaïdis calculates the likely value of Britain’s Brexit deal

“Do we know more now about the likely shape of the future Brexit deal?” writes Kalypso Nicolaïdis in an article (17 January) for the European Council on Foreign Relations blog, adding that “the fundamentals are arguably simple enough to be described in three short equations, each of which gives us a clue about an eventual Deal UK”.

The first of these equations – ‘Vm > VDuk > Vnfm’  –  suggests that the general value of Deal UK (VDuk) cannot be greater than the value of EU membership (Vm), but that it could potentially be greater than the deals accorded to non-former members (Vnfm) such as Norway and Canada.

The full article can be read here: http://www.ecfr.eu/article/commentary_a_logical_approach_to_predicting_a_brexit_deal_7217