Civil Resistance in the Streetlight: Replicating and Assessing Evidence on Nonviolent Effectiveness

Does civil resistance work? Research emphasizes the effectiveness of nonviolent resistance over violent resistance in achieving campaign goals, with the seminal study Why Civil Resistance Works (WCRW) by Chenoweth and Stephan being the main point of reference to date. I revisit this pivotal finding in three steps. First, I reproduce WCRW’s results on nonviolent effectiveness. Second, I discuss how cases may have been overlooked due to a streetlight effect. Third, I quantify the results’ sensitivity using simulations.

Near-Real Time Analysis of War and Economic Activity during Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine

Prof Zhukov will discuss his recent paper, titled Near-Real Time Analysis of War and Economic Activity during Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine. In this paper introduces near-real time data on Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, and uses these data to investigate the short-term impact of occupation and violence on local economic activity. The data project VIINA (Violent Incident Information from News Articles) parses news reports from Ukrainian and Russian media, geo-references them, and classifies them into standard event categories (e.g. artillery shelling) through machine learning.

Integrating Data Across Misaligned Spatial Units, Empirical Methodology in Political Science

Prof Zhukov will discuss his recent paper, titled Integrating Data Across Misaligned Spatial Units. Abstract: Theoretical units of interest often do not align with the spatial units at which data are available. This problem is pervasive in political science, particularly in sub-national empirical research that requires integrating data across incompatible geographic units (e.g., administrative areas, electoral constituencies, grid cells).

OPR Issue 9 Panel & Launch Party: 'Power & Perception'

Join us for the launch of our 9th print issue ("Power and Perception") on Thursday, April 27th! The event will start with a panel discussion on how perceptions on the internet vs. reality affects politics followed by a brief launch party to celebrate the release of issue 9.

Our panel will feature special guests Jemima Kelly (Columnist at the Financial Times), Prof. Ralph Schroeder (Senior Research Fellow at the Oxford Internet Institute), and Eduardo Suárez (Head of Editorial, Reuters Institute for the Study of Journalism).
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