People

Timothy Power

Professor of Latin American Politics, St Antony's College
AFFILIATION
Government and Politics Network
International Relations Network
College
St Antony's College

I am currently serving as Head of the Social Sciences Division. Since 2005, I have held a joint appointment between the Department of Politics & International Relations and the Oxford School of Global and Area Studies (OSGA), wherein I am based at the Latin American Centre.

In 1990, I initiated the Brazilian Legislative Survey which I now co-direct with Cesar Zucco Jr of the Fundação Getúlio Vargas in Rio de Janeiro. With Paul Chaisty and Nic Cheeseman, I co-authored a book based on our multi-year, ESRC-funded research project on "Coalitional Presidentialism in Africa, Latin America and Postcommunist Europe: Dynamics of Executive-Legislative Relations in New Democracies." From 2012-2014, I was the Director of Graduate Studies in Politics in DPIR. I have served as Treasurer of the Latin American Studies Association and as President of the Brazilian Studies Association. I am currently an associate editor of the Journal of Politics in Latin America. I serve on the editorial boards of Comparative Political Studies and Political Behavior.

Research

Democratisation, presidentialism, comparative political institutions (parties, legislatures and elections), Latin American and Brazilian politics

Teaching

Recent responsibilities:

Comparative Government Core Course (MPhil Politics, various sessions)

Comparative Presidentialism (MPhil Politics)

Politics of Brazil (offered via LAC/OSGA, open to DPIR students)

Timothy Power

Publications

Journal Articles

2023

POWER, T. and hunter, W. (2023) “Lula’s Second Act”, Journal of Democracy [Preprint].

2021

CHAISTY, P. and Timothy J, P. (2021) “Does Power Always Flow to the Executive? Interbranch Oscillations in Legislative Authority, 1976-2014”, Government and Opposition: an international journal of comparative politics [Preprint].
POWER, T. and Loxton, J. (2021) “Introducing Authoritarian Diasporas: Causes and Consequences of Authoritarian Elite Dispersion”, Democratization [Preprint].

2019

POWER, T. and Hunter, W. (2019) “Bolsonaro and Brazil’s Illiberal Backlash”, Journal of Democracy [Preprint].
POWER, T. and Rodrigues-Silveira, R. (2019) “Mapping Ideological Preferences in Brazilian Elections, 1994-2018: A Municipal-Level Study”, Brazilian Political Science Review [Preprint].

2018

chaisty, P. and power, T. (2018) “Flying Solo: Explaining Single-Party Cabinets under Minority Presidentialism”, European Journal of Political Research [Preprint].

2016

Doyle, D., Power, . and Chernykh, . (2016) “Measuring Legislative Power: An Expert Reweighting of the Fish-Kroenig Parliamentary Powers Index”, Legislative Studies Quarterly [Preprint].
DO AMARAL, O. and POWER, T. (2016) “The PT at 35: Revisiting Scholarly Interpretations of the Brazilian Workers’ Party”, Journal of Latin American Studies, 48(1), pp. 147–171.
Gatto, M. and Power, T. (2016) “Postmaterialism and political elites: The value priorities of Brazilian federal legislators”, Journal of Politics in Latin America, 8(1), pp. 33–68.
Power, T. (2016) “The Brazilian Military Regime of 1964-1985: Legacies for Contemporary Democracy”, IBEROAMERICANA, 16(62), pp. 13–26.

2014

Chaisty, P., Cheeseman, N. and Power, T. (2014) “Rethinking the ‘presidentialism debate’: conceptualizing coalitional politics in cross-regional perspective”, Democratization, 21(1), pp. 72–94.

2013

Lemos, L. and Power, T. (2013) “Determinants of oversight in a reactive legislature: The case of Brazil (1988-2005)”, Dados, 56(2), pp. 383–412.
Lemos, L. and Power, T. (2013) “Determinants of Oversight in a Reactive Legislature: The Case of Brazil (1988-2005)”, DADOS-REVISTA DE CIENCIAS SOCIAIS, 56(2), pp. 383–412.
Zucco, C. and Power, T. (2013) “Bolsa Família and the shift in Lula’s elector al base, 2002-2006: A reply to Bohn”, Latin American Research Review, 48(2), pp. 3–24.

2012

Power, T. and Zucco, C. (2012) “Elite Preferences in a Consolidating Democracy: The Brazilian Legislative Surveys, 1990-2009”, Latin American Politics and Society, 54(4), pp. 1–27.

2011

Raile, E., Pereira, C. and Power, T. (2011) “The executive toolbox: Building legislative support in a multiparty presidential regime”, Political Research Quarterly, 64(2), pp. 323–334.

2010

Power, T. (2010) “BRAZILIAN DEMOCRACY AS A LATE BLOOMER Reevaluating the Regime in the Cardoso-Lula Era”, LATIN AMERICAN RESEARCH REVIEW, 45, pp. 218–247.
Power, T. (2010) “Optimism, pessimism, and coalitional presidentialism: Debating the institutional design of Brazilian democracy”, Bulletin of Latin American Research, 29(1), pp. 18–33.

2009

Power, T. and Cyr, J. (2009) “Mapping political legitimacy in Latin America”, International Social Science Journal, 60(196), pp. 253–272.
Power, T. (2009) “Compulsory for Whom? Mandatory Voting and Electoral Participation in Brazil, 1986-2006”, Journal of Politics in Latin America [Preprint].
Cason, J. and Power, T. (2009) “Presidentialization, pluralization, and the rollback of itamaraty: Explaining change in Brazilian foreign policy making in the Cardoso-Lula Era”, International Political Science Review, 30(2).
Power, T. and Cesar, Z. (2009) “Estimating ideology of Brazilian legislative parties, 1990-2005: A research communication”, Latin American Research Review, 44(1), pp. 218–246.
Power, T. and Mochel, M. (2009) “Shaping the Brazilian political class: Causes and consequences of recruitment to the chamber of Deputies”, Canadian Journal of Latin American and Caribbean Studies, 34(67), pp. 5–40.

2008

Pereira, C., Power, T. and Rennó, L. (2008) “Agenda power, executive decree authority, and the mixed results of reform in the Brazilian congress”, Legislative Studies Quarterly, 33(1), pp. 5–33.

2007

Power, T. and Garand, J. (2007) “Determinants of invalid voting in Latin America”, ELECTORAL STUDIES, 26(2), pp. 432–444.
Kostadinova, T. and Power, T. (2007) “Does democratization depress participation? Voter turnout in the Latin American and Eastern European transitional democracies”, Political Research Quarterly, 60(3), pp. 363–377.
Hunter, W. and Power, T. (2007) “Rewarding Lula: Executive power, social policy, and the Brazilian elections of 2006”, Latin American Politics and Society, 49(1), pp. 1–30.

2006

Htun, M. and Power, T. (2006) “Gender, parties, and support for equal rights in the Brazilian Congress”, Latin American Politics and Society, 48(4), pp. 83–104.

2005

Pereira, C., Power, T. and Rennó, L. (2005) “Opinião pública, estratégia presidencial e ação do congresso no Brasil: ‘quem manda?’”, Opinião Pública, 11(2), pp. 401–421.
Power, T. and Hunter, W. (2005) “The Lula Government at Mid-Term: Shaping a Third Decade of Democracy in Brazil”, Journal of Democracy [Preprint].
Pereira, C., Power, T. and Rennó, L. (2005) “Under what conditions do presidents resort to decree power? Theory and evidence from the Brazilian case”, Journal of Politics, 67(1), pp. 178–200.

2004

Fornos, C., Power, T. and Garand, J. (2004) “Explaining Voter Turnout in Latin America, 1980 to 2000”, Comparative Political Studies, 37(8), pp. 909–940.

2001

Power, T. (2001) “Blairism Brazilian Style? Cardoso and the ‘Third Way’ in Brazil”, Political Science Quarterly, 116(4), pp. 611–636.

1998

GASIOROWSKI, M. and POWER, T. (1998) “The Structural Determinants of Democratic Consolidation”, Comparative Political Studies, 31(6), pp. 740–771.

1997

Power, T. (1997) “Parties, Puppets and Paradoxes”, Party Politics, 3(2), pp. 189–219.
POWER, T. and GASIOROWSKI, M. (1997) “Institutional Design and Democratic Consolidation in the Third World”, Comparative Political Studies, 30(2), pp. 123–155.

1996

Power, T. (1996) “Elites and institutions in conservative transitions to democracy: Ex-authoritarians in the Brazilian National Congress”, Studies in Comparative International Development, 31(3), pp. 56–84.

1995

Power, T. and Roberts, J. (1995) “Compulsory Voting, Invalid Ballots, and Abstention in Brazil”, Political Research Quarterly, 48(4), pp. 795–826.

1988

Power, T. (1988) “Political Landscapes, Political Parties, and Authoritarianism in Brazil and Chile”, International Journal of Comparative Sociology, 29(3-4), pp. 251–263.
Power, T., Burges, S. and Fenwick, T. (no date) “Five Faces of Presidential Governance: Insights from Policy Making in Democratic Brazil”, Policy Studies [Preprint].
POWER, T., Zucco, C. and Batista, M. (no date) “Measuring Portfolio Salience Using the Bradley-Terry Model: An Illustration with Data from Brazil”, Research and Politics [Preprint].
POWER, T. and Zucco, C. (no date) “Fragmentation Without Cleavages? Endogenous Fractionalization in the Brazilian Party System”, Comparative Politics [Preprint].
POWER, T., BATISTA, M. and ZUCCO, C. (no date) “Be Careful What You Wish For: Portfolio Allocation, Presidential Popularity, and Electoral Payoffs to Parties in Multiparty Presidentialism”, Party Politics: international journal for the study of political parties and political organizations [Preprint].
POWER, T. and Zucco, C. (no date) “It’s My Party and I’ll Lie If I Want To: Elite Ideological Obfuscation in Post-Authoritarian Settings”, Party Politics: international journal for the study of political parties and political organizations [Preprint].
CHAISTY, P. and POWER, T. (no date) “Does Power Always Flow to the Executive? Interbranch Oscillations in Legislative Authority, 1976-2014”, Government and Opposition: an international journal of comparative politics [Preprint].
Power, T. and Jamison, G. (no date) “Political Mistrust in Latin America”, Comparative Sociology, 4(1-2), pp. 55–80.
POWER, T. and DOYLE, D. (no date) “Presidential Power and Party Strength: The ‘Inverse Relationship’ Reconsidered”, Political Studies Review [Preprint].
POWER, T. and CHAISTY, P. (no date) “Gamson Going Global? Cabinet Proportionality in Comparative Perspective”, European Political Science Review [Preprint].
POWER, T. and Zucco Jr., C. (no date) “The Ideology of Brazilian Parties and Presidents: A Research Note on Coalitional Presidentialism Under Stress”, Latin American Politics and Society [Preprint].

Books

2017

Kingstone, P. and Power, T. (2017) Democratic brazil divided, pp. 1–303.
Kingstone, P. and Power, T. (2017) Introduction: A Fourth decade of Brazilian democracy, pp. 3–27.

Chapters

2020

Chaisty, P., Cheeseman, N. and Power, T. (2020) “Inside the Coordination Paradigm”, in The Oxford Handbook of Political Executives. Oxford University Press (OUP), pp. 420–437.

2018

Power, T. (2018) “The Contrasting Trajectories of Brazil’s Two Authoritarian Successor Parties”, in Life after Dictatorship, pp. 229–254.
POWER, T. and Rodrigues-Silveira, R. (2018) “The Political Right and Party Politics”, in B. Ames (ed.) Routledge Handbook of Brazilian Politics. Routledge, pp. 251–268.
Mainwaring, S., Power, T. and Bizzarro, F. (2018) “The Uneven Institutionalization of a Party System: Brazil*”, in Party Systems in Latin America. Cambridge University Press (CUP), pp. 164–200.

2017

Alcántara, M. and Power, T. (2017) “Malaise as a Symptom of Conflict: Argentina, Chile, and Uruguay in Comparative Perspective”, in Malaise in Representation in Latin American Countries. Springer Nature, pp. 323–337.

2014

de Castro, F., Koonings, K. and Wiesebron, M. (eds.) (2014) “Brazil Under the Workers’ Party”, in. Palgrave Macmillan UK.

2008

Power, T. and Mochel, M. (2008) “Political Recruitment in an Executive-Centric System: Presidents, Ministers, and Governors in Brazil”, in PATHWAYS TO POWER: POLITICAL RECRUITMENT AND CANDIDATE SELECTION IN LATIN AMERICA, pp. 218–240.

2007

Ames, B. and Power, T. (2007) “Parties and Governability in Brazil”, in Party Politics in New Democracies. Oxford University Press (OUP), pp. 179–212.
POWER, T., CHAISTY, P. and Cheeseman, N. (no date) “Inside the Coordination Paradigm: New Perspectives on Minority Presidents and Coalition Management”, in R. Andeweg et al. (eds.) Oxford Handbook of Political Executives. Oxford University Press.

Datasets

2017

Power, T., Chaisty, P. and Cheeseman, N. (2017) “Coalitional presidentialism in comparative perspective: minority executives in multiparty systems”. University of Oxford.

preprint

2019

Zucco, C., Silva, M. and Power, T. (2019) “Measuring Portfolio Salience Using the Bradley-Terry Model: An Illustration with Data from Brazil”, SSRN Electronic Journal.
Zucco, C. and Power, T. (2019) “Fragmentation Without Cleavages? Endogenous Fractionalization in the Brazilian Party System”, SSRN Electronic Journal.

2011

Zucco, C. and Power, T. (2011) “Bolsa Família and the Shift in Lula’s Electoral Base, 2002-2006: A Reply to Bohn”, SSRN Electronic Journal.
Zucco, C. and Power, T. (2011) “Elite Preferences in a Consolidating Democracy: The Brazilian Legislative Surveys, 1990-2009”, SSRN Electronic Journal.