(DPhil (Oxon), MPhil (Oxon), BA (Cantab))
Andrew Payne is the Hedley Bull Research Fellow in International Relations at the Department of Politics and International Relations. His primary research interest concerns the influence of electoral politics on U.S. decision-making in war. He is currently working on a book manuscript on this topic, exploring how the electoral cycle shaped presidential decisions concerning military and diplomatic strategy during the wars in Korea, Vietnam and Iraq. His broader interests include U.S. foreign policy, international security, civil-military relations, and diplomatic history since 1945. Andrew's most recent article is "Presidents, Politics and Military Strategy: Electoral Constraints during the Iraq War," International Security, Vol. 44, No 3 (Winter 2019/20), pp. 163-203. His writing has also been published in the Washington Post, Politics, International Affairs, The Conversation and The National Interest. In addition to his academic work, Andrew serves on the board of the Royal Institute of International Affairs (Chatham House).
214 - International Relations
212 - International Relations in the Era of the Two World Wars
213 - International Relations in the Era of the Cold War
297 - International Security and Conflict
The Development of the International System and Contemporary Debates in International Relations Theory
Articles and Book Chapters
"Bringing the Boys Back Home: Campaign Promises and U.S. Decision-Making in Iraq and Vietnam," Politics (forthcoming, published via OnlineFirst 18 August 2020).
"Presidents, Politics and Military Strategy: Electoral Constraints during the Iraq War," International Security, Vol. 44, No. 3 (Winter 2019/20), pp. 163-203.
"The Cold War in the Middle East," in Louise Fawcett (ed.) International Relations of the Middle East, 5th edn, (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2019) [With Peter Sluglett].
Blogs and Media
“U.S. Electoral Constraints, Military Strategy, and the Iraq War,” International Security: Off the Page Podcast, Episode 9, in discussion with Emma Sky and Morgan Kaplan, 18 June 2020
"War and the Ballot Box: What the Iraq War Tells Us About Military Escalation in an Election Year," OxPol Blog, 25 February 2020.
"Trump just de-escalated in the Middle East. Here’s why we shouldn’t be surprised," The Monkey Cage, Washington Post, 11 January 2020.
The last card: inside George W. Bush's decision to surge in Iraq, edited by Timothy Andrews Sayle, Jeffrey A. Engel, Hal Brands and William Inboden, in International Affairs, Vol. 96, No. 1 (January 2020), pp. 266-268.
Planning to fail: the US wars in Vietnam, Iraq, and Afghanistan, by James F. Lebovic; and Why America loses wars: limited war and US strategy from the Korean War to the present, by Donald Stoker, in International Affairs, Vol. 96, No. 2 (March 2020), pp. 560-562.
"'A Ridiculously Political World': Partisan Politics and Civil-Military Relations during the Iraq War"
"It's the Politics, Stupid: Explaining US-Iran Relations Since 1979" [with Louise Fawcett]
"Dead Doves and Lame Ducks: How Failed Presidential Candidates Shape U.S. Foreign Policy"